Extreme events – from Rio to Birmingham

Droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, storms and floods are increasing in frequency and intensity. An online conference in April places a welcome spotlight on responding to extreme events

It’s all too easy to make statements like “the world has reached a tipping point” or to announce that global warming, pollution and the destruction of nature form a triumvirate of doom.

 Perhaps they are unhelpful. Such warnings, which have become amplified in the decades since the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, encourage both denial and inaction. We could simply give up, go back to our duvets and sip a sugary drink through a plastic straw. But we’re not going to, right?

A timely online conference Building Resilience: Housing, Health and Extreme Events, to be held in April, has attracted a buzz and speakers and interest from all over the world.

Organised by the Healthier Housing Partnership and hosted by Birmingham University, the conference will include 32 speakers and case studies from 14 countries. Focused on community-based solutions, it is aimed professionals and civil society organisations and academics worldwide.

The whole planet is affected by extreme events and they are coming to more of us, more often. In wealthy countries, we’re being lashed by storms and hurricanes with increasing frequency. The cities that we live in, or go to on holiday, may be unbearably hot at certain times of year – or in, some cases, subject to cyclones or actually surrounded by burning forests. The messages couldn’t be clearer.

Last year, torrential rain in East Spain brought over a year’s worth of precipitation in eight hours. Floods caused 232 deaths. This year, cities in Southern California were struck by devastating wildfires. 

Community empowerment

Rightly, the Californian fires were well reported. Most people weren’t told, however, by the same news channels, that Chile, in South America, had suffered the country’s worst ever wild fires in 2024 or that Canada’s national conflagrations that year produced the global warming effect of a year’s worth of greenhouse gas emissions in India.

Preparations and adaptions for extreme events can be relatively low-cost and low-tech. Those are the ones that will endure when the relief has ended and international NGOs have left the scene. They are also the most sympathetic with improving biodiversity and local capacity building.

Nusrat Nasab, CEO of the Aga Khan Agency for Habitat (AKAH) Pakistan, will tell the conference that in Pakistan the agency produces village disaster risk management plan, involving talking to elders.

Local solutions are being adopted – for example, using large boulders to reinforce river banks and planting schemes that protect slopes from flash floods causing landslides and soil erosion.

Nusab says: “Empowered communities are more resilient. The west always looks to the government for help. Here, it’s more about the people themselves.” 

This great example and many more, will be showcased at the Building Resilience conference.

Register for Building Resilience: Housing, Health and Exreme Events

For more information contact Will Hatchett. E-mail wahatchett@gmail.com

Pic: The Senegalese Federation of Inhabitants is improving resilience to climate change in Senegal. World Habitat

Birmingham conference leads international fightback

Pic: The Senegalese Federation of Inhabitants is improving living conditions and resilience to climate change in Senegal. World Habitat

An international online conference, hosted by the University of Birmingham, places a welcome spotlight on responding to extreme events that threaten housing and health worldwide. Its focus is on community-based solutions.

Droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, storms and floods are increasing in frequency and intensity. The United Nations estimates that 90 per cent of disasters are related to weather. 

It's the job of academics to record such occurrence, so that we can learn from them. Sadly, they are easy to ignore. For two decades following the Rio Earth Summit in 1992 their messages were fogged by denial and obfuscation. Now national exceptionalism is being used as a reason for inaction.

Increasingly, those working in the fields of construction, environmental sciences. international development, planning, public health, and energy, water and transport infrastructure are fighting back. It’s now recognised that strategies must work across multiple fields and that they are only sustainable if they are owned by the people affected most.

An international online conference in April, Building Resilience: Housing, Health and Extreme Events has attracted speakers and interest from all over the world. Organised by the Healthier Housing Partnership and hosted by Birmingham University, it will include 32 speakers and case studies from 14 countries.

From Rio to Birmingham

The conference usefully re-frames ‘disasters’ as extreme events – predictable phenomena that we can plan for. It will draw lessons from events as diverse as ex-tropical Cyclone Ellie in Australia, the aftermath of an Indonesian earthquake, Spain’s worst flooding for decades and the needs of displaced populations in Nigeria.

Opening the conference will be Prof. David Hannah, UNESCO chair of water science and it will include speakers from Shack Dwellers Federation of Namibia and DARAJA, providing early warning service Kenya and Tanzania.

One of the key messages of the conference will be that the extreme events that destroy houses and entire cities and displace millions of people do not fall into discreet categories. They frequently combine or are causally linked.

Melting ice in the world’s highest mountains should cause us as much concern as the shrinking polar ice caps. In Asia, it’s estimated that up to two billion people in eight countries are threatened by increasing glacial melt in the Himalayas. But that’s only part of the problem.

Nusrat Nasab, CEO of the Aga Khan Agency for Habitat (AKAH) Pakistan will tell the conference that, in 2022, the combine effects of heavy monsoon rains and glacial runoff following a heat wave, led to Pakistan’s worst ever flooding, killing up 1,739 people. A third of the country was affected. She says: “I call Pakistan the ‘house of hazards. In the mountains, floods wash away everything. In the coastal areas it stays for months.”  

Millions displaced

Dr Jamila Wakawa Zanna will explain that war, civil conflict and climate change often interact, in a deadly nexus. A UK-based academic at the University of Birmingham, she also works for Nigeria’s National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA).

Globally it’s estimated that 72 million people have been forced to flee their homes due to extreme events. In Nigeria alone, up to four million people are internally displaced. In the north, it’s caused by conflict driven by religious extremism. In the south, it’s primarily flooding, ethnic clashes and land disputes. 

Government camps are often over-crowded and unsafe. Even those run by international NGOs are often culturally insensitive, especially to the needs of women and the elderly, who are especially represented among internally displaced people.

Zanna comments: “External aid organisations don’t ask us what we need. They give us what they think we need.”  

Eureka moments

In the poorest countries, people and assets are not generally insured. Consequently, the financial costs of an extreme event will be estimated as far lower than those of an equivalent in a wealthy country.

Health impacts and fatalities are hard to measure in countries lacking primary healthcare, epidemiological statistics and death certification. It’s common, in such parts of the world, for bodies buried beneath concrete rubble never to be recovered. Consequently, in the west, victims and consequences in low and middle income countries are often invisible.

We tend to ignore what happens a long way away. it’s all too easy to assign yet another extreme event to a dusty, seldom visited part of the brain – a third of Pakistan underwater, another earthquake somewhere in Asia, a savage, record-breaking cyclone devastating a Pacific paradise. A eureka moment, comes when we acknowledge that Gaia, our living, breathing planet, is out of whack and trying to throw us off, burn or drown us.

Such revelations are coming to more of us, more often. In the global north, we’re being lashed by storms and hurricanes, with anthropomorphic names with increasing frequency. The cities that we live in, or go on holiday to may be unbearably hot at certain times of year – or in some cases, subject to cyclones or surrounded by burning forests. The messages couldn’t be clearer. 

Closer to home

This year, Californian cities were encroached by wildfires that seemed to have been designed by Evangelists concerned by the Biblical ‘end times’, with the help of Hollywood’s finest CGI technicians. 

Rightly, the ‘disaster’ was well reported. Most people weren’t told, however, by the same news channels, that Chile, at other end of the continent had suffered the country’s worst ever wild fires in 2024 or that Canada’s national conflagration that year produced the global warming effect of a year’s worth of greenhouse gas emissions in India.

Closer to the UK, Paloma Taltavull de La Paz, a professor of applied economics at the University of Alicante, will tell the conference that, last year, torrential rain in East Spain brought over a year’s worth of precipitation in eight hours. Floods caused 232 deaths.

Planning and work to protect low-lying land around Turia Riiver in the Valencia region, begun following the deadly floods of 1957, had been abandoned long before the current generation of politicians took control. Flood victims have launched legal actions. They are calling for resignation of regional president Carlos Mazón for failing act promptly on meteorological warnings.

Local is best

Adaptive solutions can be simple, low-cost and low-tech. Those are the ones that will endure when the relief phase has ended and parachuted-in NGOs have left the scene.

They are also the most sympathetic with improving biodiversity and local capacity building. In Pakistan, the world’s most climate affected country, the Aga Khan Agency for Habitat produces village disaster risk management plans. They involve talking to elders, who can remember which areas are prone to flooding.

Local solutions are being adopted that are being duplicated across Asia and Africa – for example, using large boulders to reinforce river banks and planting schemes that protect slopes from flash floods causing landslides and soil erosion. In 2020, the Aga Khan Agency for Habitat Pakistan and the government of Gilgit-Baltistan in north-east of the country launched a $4.2 million project to plant 50 million trees across the region.

This great example of protecting human settlement from extreme events, and many more, will be showcased and discussed at the Building Resilience conference in April. Nusab says: “Empowered communities are more resilient. The west always looks to the government for help. Here, it’s more about the people themselves.”

Regiser for Building Resilience: Housing, Health and Extreme Events

For more information contact Will Hatchett. E-mail wahatchett@gmail.com

“Climate change is the biggest threat to security that modern humans have ever faced. These threats should unite us no matter from which part of the world we come.”

David Attenborough, speaking to the UN Security Council, 2021

“Professional fragmentation needs to be reduced if we are to better prepare for and respond to extreme events. The Building Resilience conference is a welcome contribution to that process.” 

David Jacobs, Chief Scientist National Center for Healthy Housing

 

Wicked problems of the private rented sector

Improved renters’ rights are coming closer. Landlords predict a shrinking private rented sector. One thing is certain, new legislation gives councils a raft of new duties and responsibilities at a time when they face unprecedented demands.

Royal assent for the Renters' Rights Bill, which was announced in the 2024 King's Speech is moving closer. Now in the House of Lords it could become law by Easter, or the summer. The new law contains a change that has become a talisman for housing campaigners and that the last Conservative government resisted.

So-called no fault or retaliatory evictions, made under Section 21 of the Housing Act 1988, will end on day one of the act coming into effect. Private landlords, in theory, will no longer be able to ‘get rid of’ tenants who have the temerity to complain about poor conditions or rent increases.

The bill, when passed, will extend the Decent Homes Standard from social housing to the private rented sector and prohibit the use of rent increase clauses, requiring landlords to issue a Section 13 notice to increase the rent. Rent increase will be limited to once per year, capped at market levels. Tenants on benefits and those with pets should find it easier to rent.

The new law will create a digital Private Rented Sector database, which, again, campaigners have sought for many years, and a new ombudsman service. Councils will be able to extend property licensing schemes, which impose additional responsibilities on landlords, without approval from the secretary of state – a change that many will welcome as a useful tool for levering up standards over large areas.

Paul Oatt, FCIEH, a local authority private housing regulation expert welcomes the abolition of Section 21 eviction, which has already been implemented in Scotland. He notes: “When a tenant receives a Section 21 eviction their landlord does not have to give a reason. From a human rights perspective, it’s very difficult fort them to go court to defend their tenancy.”

The new law will allow a landlord to evict because they want to sell their property or for a family member to move in – but, in these cases, it will prevent them from re-letting for a year, or face a potential financial penalty. Civil enforcement penalties, available to councils since the Housing and Planning Act of 2016, whose receipts they can recycle into enforcement services, will be increased.

Housing law is a mess

Oatt admits that housing legislation is a mess. To the benefit of lawyers, sections of the Housing Acts of 1985, 1988 and 2004 will still apply when the Renters’ Rights Act comes into force. The act, he notes, will give significant new responsibilities to already over-loaded local authority regulatory services, many of which are facing the simultaneous prospect of merging with their neighbours, to become unitary councils. Local authorities  have been suffering from skills shortages, and difficulties in recruiting good staff for years now. Having to spend large sums of housing budgets on temporary accommodation is bringing some to the verge of bankruptcy.

The Renters’ Rights Act will extend Awaab’s Law responsibilities to act promptly on damp and mould to the private sector – which is laudable, he says, but an enormous responsibility. Just as councils struggle to eliminate hugely costly issues of damp and mould and flammable cladding to their own housing stock, the new law may stimulate solicitors to pursue no-fee class actions to an enormous group of new claimants, private sector tenants.

Commentators fear that landlord tenant disputes resulting from the new legislation will swamp an already overloaded legal system. Oatt sympathises with landlords who, he acknowledges, may now face costly delays. He says: “I think that’s a fair concern. I’ve literally just finished off a tribunal case that’s been dragging on since 2020. Tribunals are in an absolute mess.”

The application of a ‘pass or fail’ test on the presence of mould in privately rented properties, he says, contradicts the risk assessment basis of the housing health and safety rating system. More seriously, a much-needed exercise to update HHSRS has been delayed.

The intention of the new legislation is certainly to reduce injustices for tenants. But lawyers, he notes, are inventive and housing law is like an enormous piece of knitting – pull on one thread and you’re going to make hole somewhere else. Oatt says: “whenever you enact a policy and try to resolve an issue you create other issues – this is the nature of housing legislation because the housing market is so volatile.”

In particular, he fears the return of no fault eviction by the ‘back door’, through landlords’ invoking Section 6B of the Housing Act 1988, allowing them to seek vacant possession of property for which a local authority has served a notice requiring major works.

Lawyers and landlords

Tenants’ campaigners have generally welcomed additional protections offered by the new law. It evolved from the Conservatives’ Renters (Reform) Bill, introduced in 2023 and was considerably strengthened by amendments introduced by housing minister Matthew Pennycook.

The private rented sector has doubled in size since the early 2000s. It now houses almost five million households and is the second largest form of tenure after owner occupation. The sector is dominated by small landlords. According to government figures, 43% of landlords own one rental property, representing 20% of tenancies. Social housing stock has plummeted over the last few decades, while owner occupation, an obsession of both major parties, has never have been a suitable tenure for those who require mobility or whose income is uncertain.

We have ‘worst of both worlds’ housing, which has evolved through market forces. The “buy-to-let boom’ housing, which swelled the private rented sector from the late 1990s, is subject to economic cycles. The current situation places some of the neediest people in society in the hands of amateur landlords, to the detriment of both, and means that millions of families with children are living in housing whose physical condition is often poor and face the sword of Damocles of frequently being required to move.

The Law Society has welcomed the ban of no-fault evictions and an end to rental bidding wars. But it says: “The government must outline how it intends to equip courts with adequate resources to handle rising demand, while dealing with existing backlogs.”

It has also called for expanded grounds for landlords to repossess properties using Section 8 eviction notices, for penalties against rogue landlords to be strengthened and more funding for recruitment and training of council enforcement teams.

The National Residential Landlords Association, the UK's largest landlord association, supports the application of the Decent Homes Standard to the PRS, the extension of Awaab’s Law and measures to tackle discrimination.
But it has warned of the “potentially devastating” consequences of the Renters' Rights Bill on the supply of homes to let and rent levels.

Oatt notes that in the 1960s and ’70s, when Labour passed legislation to protect tenants’ rights, private landlords claimed, erroneously, that increasing security of tenure and controlling rents will lead to a meltdown of the PRS. He doubts that the sector’s size, 19% of UK housing stock, will, in reality, decrease but he concedes that the new law could lead to a churn in ownership, so small landlords are replaced by larger ones.

He observes that there are ‘tame’ and ‘wicked ’problems’. The tame ones (like fixing a broken car engine) have clear -parameter and known solutions, wicked problems (solving climate change) are complex and multifaceted, with no clear solution, involving multiple stakeholders with conflicting interests. Housing problems, he says, are wicked ones.

 

Is food safety broken? If so, how do we fix it?

Food safety enforcement in England could be on the verge of its largest change since the nineteenth century. Some fear privatisation and ‘regulatory capture’. Others argue that technology-driven innovation is long overdue. 

It’s been a newsy year for food safety. In January, the UK was unable to implement its promised frictionless, single trade window, featuring newly-designated border control posts and digital health certificates, in time for the return of controls on EU animal and plant imports. The result was long queues of lorries and chaos. It was more Dad’s Army than James Bond.

EHOs in Dover warned of illegal pork being smuggled into the UK in unprecedented quantities in white vans, prompting fears, in the Daily Mail, of an outbreak of African swine fever. In March, the Guardian reported that hospital admissions from salmonella, the most common form of food poisoning, were at all at time high. Some commentators attributed the surge to Brexit catastrophically reducing physical safety controls and the stripping of capacity from local government over the austerity period.

In October, stories in the catering trade press proclaimed ‘Move to self-regulate could reduce safety visits’, then ‘Scores on doors scandal to “torpedo” FSA plans for food safety shake-up’. An undercover BBC investigation had discovered hundreds of premises, including a branch of Sainsbury’s mis-declaring their food hygiene rating scores. Food is always political, and policy decisions are often hijacked by events.

It would be possible to conclude from this year’s headlines that the UK’s food safety system is ‘broken’. Public health commentator Sterling Crew doesn’t think that the system is broken. But he does believe that it needs some reforms, to bring it up to date.

Crew, a chartered fellow of the CIEH has a 40-year background in food regulation, manufacturing and retailing. Today, he observes, supermarkets account for 95% of grocery sales, in a sector that is dominated by ten giants. Yet, he notes, the model for food safety enforcement has changed little since the 1875 Public Health Act.

It was designed for an era in which environmental health officers trod local beats inspecting abattoirs, cowshed and pie shops. He says: “I was very happy when I became a local authority EHO, over 40 years ago. But I did not think that the methods of the job had really changed since Victorian times.”

Local versus national

The anomaly of locally-based enforcement system, set against increasingly national, and global, food supply and retailing chains has been clear for several decades and it is growing more acute as local authority budgets continue to shrink. In response, in 2009, the UK’s Food Standards Agency, which was set up by New Labour in 2000, established a voluntary system of ‘primary’ authorities. Under this system, national retailing chains could choose a single council to act as a lead and referral point for advice and enforcement. The scheme was expanded in 2017.

The legislation that created the FSA allowed it to become a national enforcement body, but its political masters have chosen, up to now, not to give it that remit. The agency has intimated, at times, that it would be appropriate for it to regulate big business, leaving local authorities to focus on the sole traders and SMEs that make up the majority of the UK’s 600,000 food businesses.

In 2015, the FSA set off down that road. Under a controversial plan called Regulating Our Future, the agency would hold a national database of risk-rated registered food businesses. For the first time, data from third party, private sector audits would be incorporated into the primary authority system. Later, the agency envisaged, large businesses would be charged for food safety inspection, shifting the cost from local government.

The plan met with widespread opposition from many traditionalist EHOs, who viewed it as a heresy – a ‘privatisation’ of food safety inspection and a threat to local accountability. It was delayed and ultimately prevented by the huge national disruption caused by Brexit – events hijacking policy again.

Not dead, but resting

Regulating our Future has not disappeared from the FSA’s thinking. It has just been resting. It re-emerged, in a slightly modified form, in 2021 as Achieving Business Compliance. Conceived as a blueprint for a future regulatory system, ABC includes ‘enhanced registration’ of food businesses, co-ordinated by the FSA, and national regulation of big businesses, incorporating third-party audit data.

The system has been trialled by the FSA with, Aldi Asda, Sainsbury’s, Tesco and Waitrose. According to the agency, the data available from supermarkets’ third-party audits offers greater insight into their adherence to food safety rules than the existing local authority regimes. But ABC is just as controversial with many EHOs, as its predecessors Regulating Our Future and the primary authority system and, for the same reasons – they fear loss of local control and accountability and the potential for ‘regulatory capture’.

Discussed by the FSA board in in September, the latest iteration of ABC is that the legal enforcement body for UK’s ten largest supermarkets chains would become their primary authority as soon as next year. In the second phase, secondary legislation and changes to the Food Law Code of Practice would extend the FSA’s powers across retail, manufacturing and food-to-go sectors – a significant ‘nationalisation’ of enforcement, removing the cost of a large proportion of the cost of food safety services from councils.

Such a dramatic re-configuring to of the enforcement architecture, breaking the Victorian template and reducing the role of councils, would have to be a decision made at government level, either late in this Parliament, or the next one.

Crew does not fear such a change, if it is intelligently applied. He says: “In my opinion, the UK benefits from one of the most well-regulated, safest and authentic food systems in the world. But, despite that, we still have challenges to address. There is a need for a strong and capable regulator particularly with a global supply chain.”

He notes that Edwin Chadwick, who was the prime mover of food safety and sanitary reform in the nineteenth century, did not foresee Deliveroo, ‘dark restaurants’, globe-spanning food multinationals and artificial intelligence. Data is ubiquitous in the twenty-first century, he reasons. Why not use it and share it better?

He says: “Environmental health practitioners both in LAs and the private sector are passionate about the values to protect public health. I have seen many public and private collaboration initiatives that have improved public health, and I hope to see many more.”

Dwindling resources

He adds: “I do have major concerns surrounding the dwindling resources within local authorities We have seen a dramatic drop in the employment of EHOs. With strains on resources, I believe the regulatory framework needs to act smarter and take advantage of some of the new innovation in the sector.

“One way to do this is to incorporate the findings of voluntary third-party audits into the assessment of inspections. We could also take advantage of using remote inspections and audits. We saw some of these new innovations adopted during the Covid19 pandemic.”

Crew is a fervent admirer of the local authority EHO. He has been one himself. He argues that such a nationalised approach could be accompanied by much-needed and long overdue local reforms – why shouldn’t passporting, or prior approval, be required for running a food business? The mandatory display of food hygiene rating scores in England, as in Wales and Northern Ireland, he adds, would massively enhance the effectiveness of the scheme.

Long-term he believes that the biggest threat to food safety is not regulatory architecture but in filling future job roles and the resilience of the food safety profession. He says: “I am convinced that the biggest challenge ahead of the food sector is in retaining and recruiting talent, especially in the technical arenas. I think there are great rewarding careers available as an environmental health practitioner. We should all do our upmost to encourage people to join us.”

Crime and policing – whoops, we lost society

Labour's desired return to ‘neighbourhood policing’ is problematic. The infrastructure and shared values that once held communities together has been lost. But at least we can start to trying to rebuild.

UK politics are cyclical. For example, traditionally, the Conservatives remove rent control and security of tenure, Labour brings them back. Shifts of government bring dramatic changes of emphasis on criminal justice, from ‘bang ’em up’ to ‘hug a hoodie’ and back again.

Keir Starmer’s government, under the banner ‘take back our streets’, has promised to return to neighbourhood policing, delivered by 13,000 new neighbourhood police and police community support officers.

The ambitous plan is that Young Futures programme hubs will be staffed by youth and mental health workers and careers advisers. In the frontline of tackling ASB, new Respect Orders (a clever name) look like a re-tread of ASBOs. They will address issues including street drinking, noise, off-road biking and fly-tipping. Breaching them will potentially lead to fines or imprisonment.

The plan is well-judged and timely. It sounds utopian, compared to what we've got now. The measures look familiar. Both the rhetoric and mechanics of the new government’s approach, combining preventive programmes with unabashed punishment, strongly recall those of New Labour.

Jim Nixon, RHE Global’s director of community safety, a well-known podcaster and influencer on anti-social behaviour, has seen many changes of government and dramatic shifts in emphasis over the years. He began his career as a policeman in the West Midlands in 1995, reaching the rank of sergeant.

His days on the beat coincided with the implementation of New Labour’s far-reaching Crime and Disorder Act of 1998, which promised ‘joined up thinking‘ and brought the innovations of community safety partnerships and antisocial behaviour orders (ASBOs). Obliging councils and the police to work together, often for the first time, the act was designed to ‘tackle the causes of crime’, rather than to merely deal with the consequences.

Generous funding 

In that era, historically generous funding reached street level. Nixon recalls working in a team of eight police officers on a single beat in Sandwell, dealing with issues from graffiti to burglary and armed robbery, generally without cars. By the end of New Labour’s second term, the funding that had brought shiny regeneration schemes to blighted council estates and inner cities had run out. But some valuable legacies remained, at least as good practice – evidence-based policy making and partnership working.

The next policy milestone came just before Nixon left the police to bring his skills and knowledge to a large social landlord. Building on some elements of New Labour’s legacy and assumptions, the 2014 Crime and Policing Act amalgamated multiple ASB powers into six, including public space protection orders (PSPOs), enforced through fixed penalties.

Civil injunctions were attached to ASB enforcement, reducing its evidential burden and criminal behaviour orders (CBOs) were introduced, replacing ASBOs, which had been fixated upon by the popular media and trivialised, so that they were perceived as ‘badges of honour’ by offenders.

It’s common, in this area of policy, for governments to copy the good ideas of predecessors but to call them something else. The legislation that this Labour government has promised, will build on the Conservatives’ Criminal Justice Bill, introduced in 2023. It came with similar mood music – unsafe public spaces, needing to be ‘reclaimed’ by frightened communities.

Labour also inherits from the Conservatives elected police and crime commissioners (PCCs) which replaced police authorities in 2018. Most people would say that PCCs have failed to attract public support or interest. They have been largely invisible. Nor has the Independent Office for Police Conduct, set up in 2017 to improve public confidence in the police complaints system in England and Wales, demonstrated that it is genuinely autonomous and has teeth. 

Police at low ebb

Battered by cuts, and by allegations of excessive violence and racism, now provable by camera footage, and of ‘two-tier policing’ by recent short-lived but opportunistic home secretaries, the 43 largely autonomous police forces of England and Wales are currently functioning at an extremely low ebb.

Nixon admits: “Policing, from a reputational point of view, is the lowest I’ve ever known it.” In addition, he notes, our courts and prisons are overloaded, the probation service is “on its knees” and mental health services, for people of all ages, are stretched to breaking point. 

It’s not a great place to start from. Margaret Thatcher said “there's no such thing as society” – almost two decades of austerity-led Conservative government policies have helped to bring that about.

David Cameron's Coalition government in 2010 proposed the cozy oneness of the ‘big society’ – dog shows, the Women's Institute, jumble sales – to replace facilties and instiutions that were jeopardised or being shut down – libraries, youth services, community centres. Of course, it was nonsense. For those of us who are not rich, public serivices are the glue that unites us and makes life tolerable, or, in some cases, possible. Much of this infrastructure has simply been removed. What's left is creaking. In some cases, parks and museum are now run by volunteers – which is what Cameron's policy idea eerily forestalled.

Labour has mulitple problems that will take longer than five years to fix. The collapse of criminal justice is symptomatic of a far broader problem. Society has retreated in the face of a neo-liberal, low-tax assault whose objective were, ultimately, California-style private police forces and gated communites, with the poor camping on pavements,

Politician are viewed by the public as cynical, self-interested and greedy. The idea of ‘public service‘ is almost dead. We've lost the shared values that made possible policing by consent, the paradigm of the service inherited from Sir Robert Peel. We're at the bottom of a very deep hole. Multiple institutions need repairing and the largest – such as the House of Lords, the police, health and social care – defy repair becuase our sytems of governance themselves are broken. 

In the face of this unholy mess, it's a good job that some people remember the good old days before the expenses scandal of 2009, began to unravel UK politics, leading to a clown's parade of weird, no-hoper loosers leading or seeking to lead the Conservative party, since the collapse of the Cameron coaltion and the catastrophe of Brexit.

At a local level, some of the good ideas initiated during more progressive periods of policy, have surivived in a vestigial form in some places. For example, the partnership, multi-agency working that was introduced in public services in the late 1990s, is now accepted as the best way to get results, if not always observed. The problem is a lack of uniformity. There have no ‘big brains’ in charge of the major departments of state within the living memory of Gen Z. All they have seen is chaos. No wonder they have such low expectations.

In the case of the police, separate authorities largely ‘do their own thing’. The service is neither national or local and, tossed around as a political football, it has lost a sense of identity. Getting it back will require policy consistency and continuity and for politicians to move beyond gimmicks and slogans. It will take longer than the five years of a political cycle.

To get ‘neighbourhood policing’ right, Nixon says, we’ll need to genuinely listen to empower communities. It is a hard thing to do, he notes. Empowerment was the language of New Labour, but it wasn’t always the practice. The party adopted a top-down approach. It parachuted in well-paid consultants to interpret the wishes of the socially excluded or self-appointed ‘community leaders’. Some new infrastructure that was built was never used.

The government’s lavish final regeneration programme, housing market renewal pathfinders, delivered solutions that few people wanted across the north of England, including the demolition of popular housing. It ran out of steam and was abandoned. 

Tackling the causes

Nixon believes that the best strategy to reduce ASB, including noise, is to tackle its human, social and physical causes, rather than serving notices as a first resort. He says: “It’s important not to rush into enforcement. You’ve got to understand the problem first and the people you are dealing with to find the right solutions. You may need to have a professionals meeting and bring in other agencies to assess what is the best course of action.”

He adds: “In my view, short-term prison sentences don’t work. I would always look at other options to address what is causing the behaviour. Alternatives to prison are desperately needed. I’m a firm believer that people’s behaviour can change with the right approach.” 

Nixon welcomes the prospect of new legislation. He says: “We’re all waiting on the Criminal Justice Bill that will bring in a review of the tools and powers around antisocial behaviour, including Respect Orders. It’s imminent but, at the moment, everyone’s in the dark – we don’t know exactly what will be in it.”

At the same time, he argues that existing legal mechanisms to reduce pressure on courts and prisons are not being sufficiently used. He notes that positive requirements that can be included in injunctions and criminal behaviour orders (CBOs), for example to address drug or alcohol issues, are not being applied to their full effect. Community safety partnerships, a welcome innovation of 1998, have been patchily applied and there is no auditing of their effectiveness.

In addition, the victims of ASB, are being badly let down by statutory services, as argued by a recent report from Victims’ Commissioner, Baroness Newlove. Nixon says: “We’re now in the tenth year of the 2014 Crime and Policing Act which introduced the community trigger, now called the ASB case review, but a lot of victims of ASB who contact me say they have never heard of case reviews. In my view, there are far too few of them and there needs to be a standardised, uniform template for how they are conducted.”

Sniped at by right wing commentariat and the deluded far left of his party, Starmer is an adult in the room. Yes, he has needed to be as slippery as a dog toy to gain control of the levers of power – a new Harold Wilson. Health, the Home Office and the Treasury now have credible and intelligent people in charge and Angela Raynor gives Starmer the street cred that John Prescott provided to Tony Blair. There is less privilege and entitlement around the cabinet table that at any time in our history

The cabinet is far too big – it's dysfunctional. The Privy Council, the royal prerogative and bishops in the House of Lords are ludicrous survivals of Feudalism. England probably needs its own Parliament, in somewhee like Birmingham, as the post-Brexit union continues to diverge, But that's second term stuff. Maybe Starmer can at least start to fix the car of state. Broken, rusty and tucked away in some farmer's barn, this old classic is now only fit for the scrapyard.

On comic books and the end of history

 

Dumbed down TV, dumbed down politicians, dumbed down ‘debates’ which are little more than exchanges of insults and slogans. Ever felt like you are living in a comic?

We live in a world of instant communication – stuff that is happening in our postcode and two continents away clamours equally for our attention. Our constantly pinging smart phones are the neurons of a planetary brain. Sarah at number seven needs some compost. President Trump wants to shut down the US Department of Education.

Reality is too complicated – there are too many permutations for the human brain to compute. Is it really so surprising that we have adopted a simplistic Marvel comics view of the world, which does not allow for character for moral nuance. Like the world portrayed in those comics, politics are blue and red, black and white, more than they ever have been. It wasn’t supposed to be like this, was it?

Is it a coincidence that both Marvel and DC comics were born in the United States at the same time as the rise of European fascism? It was an era in which simple answers were being sought and visual symbols and colours loomed large. Now, in the era of the logotype and social media, the process is magnified. Politics are brands, visual and evanscent media have primacy over the written and the reflective. Even words are being generated by machines.

The digital revolution that has leapt into our pockets is ushering in the end of history. Now there is only now. American political commentator, Francis Fukuyama, argued that history ended in 1990 with the dissolution of the Soviet Union. He believed that this would usher in the “universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government”. He was trebly wrong – not only in when and how history would end, but in what would follow it. It's not looking like liberal democracy but fascism.

Victors write history

It is the victors who write history. Enabled by the internet, victors can simply declare themselves as such, either because they own a means of global communication, or they control it through the sheer reach and volume of the content which they and their followers generate.

Thus an almost successful insurrectionist becomes a president; a sexual predator declares himself to be a follower of Christ – an unrepentant one – and attracts even more followers. As far as we can tell, tousle-haired Russell Brand with his leather pants and his rococo vocabulary, admits to no sin. The priapic Jesus lookalike is merely the victim of a conspiracy, cooked up by the boring ‘legacy media’ to destroy the cult of Russell, just as it’s trying to close down anti-vaxxers and people who believe that the world began 6,000 years ago and that carbon dating is fake.

Hitler’s PR guy, Josef Goebbels, is whispering his poison into our ear buds, while Trump, following his blitzkrieg of the once sacred institutions of American democracy, bellows his me-centred discourse from a non-existent balcony mocked up for YouTube, with a dubbed on cheer track.

We all saw and heard what he did – he tried to rustle up missing votes from a state official who bravely stood his ground  – and he recorded himself doing it! What do you do with that and with the proud boy uprising? You can’t change them or argue that they didn’t matter (unless you are morally reprehensible or an idiot). To preserve your mental equilibrium, you pretend that they didn’t happen, or you normalise them, to blend in with a new reality. Or both.

You welcome the guy to the Whitehouse and he pretends to be nice, not a brutal street thug. A voice inside you says that, if you don’t do that, you risk being grabbed on the street one day and beaten with billy clubs.

Fukuyama is weeping

Fukuyama must be weeping. The 1930s are only an eye blink away. We had democracy for a few decades. Now we are back to the jack boot and superheroes and villiains in tights – the triumph of brutal ignorance. Trump is set to make America stupid, not great – a country built in his own image.

They say that crowds have wisdom. It’s sometimes true. We in are living in a geopolitical framework dominated by gangsters who have subverted democratic processes, or who operate outside them. Two of them need to be in office to avoid being locked up in prison.

One of them is an absurd looking orange-faced man with stretchy sports clothing struggling to contain his ample frame and a wife who looks as if she is made from plastic. This guy, see, he can video call the other leaders and they can sort out the world – carving it up between them, like gangsters in prohibition-era Chicago. In other words, in a world of bullies, we need the biggest bully.

The things is, in a Marvelised universe, this scenario has a logic and even a depressing appeal. Faced by Trump and an industrial assault on middle American opinion from Russian bot farms, the Democrats could not find an equally potent leader and a credible story to take on the Donald, the polyester horror.

Story is everything. A depressing conclusion would be that being nice, like Joe and Kamala, just doesn’t cut it these days. A less depressing one would be that an anti-Trump could have won the 2024 election, or could be found in time for the next one – a man or woman leading a US crusade for pluralism, tolerance and democracy – the founding values of the US – a titan at the negotiating table with a natural feel for the peasant brutality of Stalin’s successors, Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un.

In previous decades, before swamp politics became the norm, this person could have been a Republican. They would be at vanguard of a high tech, world-leading assault on global warming. They would be gracious and cultured, and they would know the right cutlery to use at Buckingham Palace and how to behave next to a gracious monarch. Surely Marvel could imagine something like that into being? We have to hope so.





 

Hooray for the ‘nanny state’

Despite a barrage of criticism from the right wing commentariat, the Government, wishes for us to smoke and drink less, to adopt better diets and to live in more secure, healthier homes. 

A jolly good thing too, says Will Hatchett! But is there enough public infrastructure left in the UK to help make a difference?

With optimism thin on the ground, it’s no wonder people are excited about Oasis reforming. Anyone who is now in their late 30s, or older, will remember the last time that an old, tired government in the UK was replaced overnight in a seismic demographic, cultural and political shift. 

Tony Blair’s smile when he arrived in Number 10 matched the bright colours and catchy, patriotic jingles of Britpop. For a while, he basked in the radiance of Cool Britannia. It was a great time to work in the environmental health discipline of local government, because the Blair government refreshed policy areas that had withered from neglect in the sterile, market-ruled politics of the previous two decades.

New Labour promised upstream, generously-funded health intervention. It appointed the UK’s first public health minister, Tessa Jowell. It created a Health Development Agency and a health-focused Food Standards Agency, and turned its sights on the deadly triad of smoking, poor diet and alcohol, in a programme of ‘lifestyle politics’.

Labour’s radical approach to health was vigorously opposed by right-wing commentators. Their views reflected those of a famous editorial in the Times, opposing the 1848 Public Health Act. It stated: ‘We prefer to take our chance with cholera than be bullied into health. There is nothing a man hates so much as being cleansed against his will, or having his floors swept, his walls whitewashed, his pet dung heaps cleared away, or his thatch forced to give way to slate, all at thecommand of a sort of sanitary bombaliff.’

These anti-health campaigners, often allies of the tobacco industry, adopted a term that had been used by Margaret Thatcher, to lampoon measures designed to level up the life chances of the least well off, i.e. the non-rich, ‘the nanny state’.

Well, the nanny state is back, or so The Daily Telegraph and Daily Mail would have us believe. It’s the latest example of the UK’s traditional oscillation, in government, between interventionism and libertarianism – Labour and Conservative. 

We are unhealthier 

The statistics on health have worsened since 1997, when New Labour took office. Life expectancy is no longer increasing; there is an epidemic of child and adult obesity linked to junk food consumption and lack of exercise. Housing in the UK kills old people in the winter because it’s too cold. A child in a housing association property in Rochdale died in 2020 because his house was infested with mould. 

The causes of these ‘crises’ are entitrely avoidable. As a society, we could eat better food, exercise more, smoke and drink less and ensure safer and more affordable housing – of course we could. These lifestyle changes would save money for the state on health interventions in our lives.

Keir Starmer, with his subsidised spectacles and Taylor Swift tickets, is no Tony Blair. The Oasis brothers won’t be dropping into Downing Street any time soon. But his government has re-occupied the interventionist territory of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown. On housing, Labour’s Renters’ Rights Bill promises to ban no-fault evictions and to improve private rented housing. Health-wise, tobacco is, again, public health enemy number one.

A proposal to outlaw smoking in pub gardens has the Mail and Telegraph boiling with indignation. And nanny has confiscated the keys to the tuckshop: a pre-watershed ban on TV advertising for junk food is proposed from next October, alongside banning the sale of high-caffeine energy drinks for under-16s. Disposable vapes are also in Labour’s sights. 

Anticipating a second term, more strategically, Labour has indicated that NHS reform should include structural change aligning more funding to upstream interventions designed to prevent people from becoming sick. 

Yes, we have been here before. Remember the Acheson report of 1998 on tackling the determinants of health? Sadly by its second term in 2001, New Labour had lost momentum on shifting the focus of health funding towards tackling the social and environmental determinants of ill-health. It reverted to what all governments do – pouring more money into the leaky bucket of the NHS while holes are banged in with six-inch nails.   

Post-Grenfell landscape 

The landscape has changed since New Labour. Since the crash of 2008, politics have been all about crisis and firefighting. The Food Standards Agency, set up in 2000, made a strong start on promoting healthy eating and reigning in ‘big food’. But it was soon tamed and ‘de-politicised’. Now it’s a managerialist body. The Conservatives removed the NHS’s public health function in the privatisation-friendly Health and Social Care Act of 2012 and failed to transfer budget savings to local government.

One of the casualties of the Covid pandemic was Public Health England, a flagbearer for ‘lifestyle politics’. Set up to replace it, the UK Health Security Agency has a microbiological focus, and the Office for Health Improvement and Disparities is an invisible body that gathers statistics. Civil servants prefer public health to be passive, not active.

However, the Grenfell Fire of 2017 was a wake-up call. It showed us that maniacal, ideologically driven deregulation kills people.

Housing is political. Food is political, Smoking, drinking and vaping are political. Environmental health practitioners (EHPs) who work for local government ensuring safe food and workplaces, clean air and healthy rented housing, are not political, nor should they be – they are public servants. But their skill-sets, for example, in coercing food businesses and pub owners into behaviour that is in the public interest and in reigning in bad landlords through a well-tested blend of education and coercion, have a century-long record of effectiveness.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, the historically well-resourced environmental health services of local councils became active in areas as diverse as tackling food deserts and improving sexual health. Two chief medical officers of the period – the senior health officials working in government – Sir Donald Acheson and Sir Keneth Calman, were the last CMOs to view local government professionals as part of the public health workforce. There's not much left now of the civil society that still existed when the Coalition took office in 2010.

It’s hard to remember now but, in the Britpop era, EHPs visited shopping centres and housing estates dressed as vegetables or pieces of fruit – or giant cigarettes. They were active champions of the smoke-free laws of 2007 and played a major role in their enforcement. 

The fact that EHPs, with their specific and well-honed skills in contact tracing for infectious illness, were initially ignored and sidelined during the Covid pandemic is a testament to our dysfunctional political system, the short memories of politicians and the unerring ability of the civil service to douse down innovation and revert to  bean counting. 

Other worlds are possible 

Dare I say this: the time has come for the UK to revisit the almost forgotten Black, Acheson and Marmot reports and to address the causes of ill health – poor national diet, insecure over-expensive housing and generally unhealthy lifestyles. EHPs can and should be part of changing this unhealthy status quo. They have been before, and although their teams have been reduced to skeleton status by cuts to frontline services, they could be again. The motto of the Chartered Institute of Environmental Health, Amicus Humani Generis, translates as ‘Friend of the Human Race’.  

The Punch and Judy politics of the political tribes, with their non-evidential basis and simplistic, headline-favouring slogans, are entertaining and make good copy. That’s one reason we still have them. But they are ineffectual. A downstream treatment-after-the-damage-is-done model dominates health and social care as it inevitably will under a political system that is based on five-year electoral cycles and ministerial musical chairs.

Such a system will always be defended by the well-paid flag-wavers of libertarianism and its corollaries, lower taxes and ‘small government’. How dare a ruling party think that it might be in office for more than five years – long enough to make a difference – and that things could be done differently! More nails! More buckets! 

In truth, the noisy, wannabe influencers of GB News and newspapers owned by billionaire offshore-based press barons, are largely talking to each other in print and online, while claiming that they are denied a voice by mere ‘experts’ and the ‘legacy media’. 

EHPs are, or should be, the primary health champions within local government. In many cases, directors of public health, at several tiers of seniority above them, are barely aware of their existence. I’m not calling for EHPs to become more involved in political debate – those in managerial roles, quite rightly, are not allowed to. I’d just like them to be given their rightful role in fixing broken Britain (and Northern Ireland). It can happen. As the situationists used to say, ‘other worlds are possible’.